Agric. Econ. - Czech, 2021, 67(10):399-408 | DOI: 10.17221/223/2021-AGRICECON
Price transmission in biofuel-related global agricultural networksOriginal Paper
- 1 Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
- 2 Department of Banking and Insurance, Faculty of Finance and Accounting, Prague University of Economics and Business, Prague, Czech Republic
- 3 Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Rausser College of Natural Resources, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, USA
This article investigates the connections among the prices of biofuels, agricultural commodities and other relevant assets in Europe, the US, and Brazil. The analysis includes a comprehensive data set covering price data for 38 traded titles during the period from 2003 to 2020. We used the minimum spanning tree (MST) approach to identify price connections in a complex trading system. Our analysis of mutual price connections reveals the major defining features of world-leading biofuel markets. We provide the characteristics of the main bioethanol and biodiesel markets with respect to government policies and technical and local features of the production and consumption of particular biofuels. Despite a relatively long and dynamically evolving history of biofuels, the biofuel systems in the US, Brazil and Europe do not converge toward the same pattern of relations among fossil fuels, biofuels, agricultural commodities and financial assets.
Keywords: biodiesel; energy and agricultural policies; ethanol; minimum spanning tree
Published: October 26, 2021 Show citation
References
- Abdelradi F., Serra T. (2015): Asymmetric price volatility transmission between food and energy markets: The case of Spain. Agricultural Economics, 46: 503-513.
Go to original source... - ANP (2020): ANP Dataset. [Dataset]. Agencia Nacional do Petroleo, Gas Natural e Biocombustiveis (ANP). Available at https://preco.anp.gov.br/ (accessed June 20, 2021).
- Bastianin A., Galeotti M., Manera M. (2016): Ethanol and field crops: Is there a price connection? Food Policy, 63: 53-61.
Go to original source... - Beckman J., Hertel T., Taheripour F., Tyner W. (2012): Structural change in the biofuels era. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 39: 137-156.
Go to original source... - Bloomberg Datastream (2020): Ethanol Price, Price Indices, Field Crops and Cattle Prices Dataset. [Dataset]. Bloomberg. Available at https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/datasets/ (accessed June 20, 2021).
- Boutesteijn C., Drabík D., Venus T. (2017): The interaction between EU biofuel policy and first-and second-generation biodiesel production. Industrial Crops and Products, 106: 124-129.
Go to original source... - Campbell H., Rude J., Luckert M., Taheripour F. (2018): Prospects for second-generation ethanol in Canada: An analysis of economy-wide impacts. Canadian Public Policy, 44: 259-271.
Go to original source... - Capitani D., Junior J., Tonin J. (2018): Integration and hedging efficiency between Brazilian and U.S. ethanol markets. Revista Contemporanea de Economia e Gestao, 16: 93-117.
Go to original source... - CEPEA (2020): Daily Cash Prices for Ethanol, Corn, Sugar and Oil. [Dataset]. Centro de Estudos Avançados em Economia Aplicada. University of Sao Paulo, Brazil. Available at https://www.cepea.esalq.usp.br/en/indicator/ethanol. aspx (accessed June 20, 2021).
- Ciaian P., Kancs A. (2011a): Interdependencies in the energy-bioenergy-food price systems: A cointegration analysis. Resource and Energy Economics, 33: 326-348.
Go to original source... - Ciaian P., Kancs A. (2011b): Food, energy and environment: Is bioenergy the missing link? Food Policy, 36: 571-580.
Go to original source... - Dalheimer B., Herwartz H., Lange A. (2021): The threat of oil market turmoils to food price stability in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Economics, 93: 1-23.
Go to original source... - de Gorter H., Drabík D., Just D. (2015): The Economics of Biofuel Policies. Impacts on Price Volatility in Grain and Oilseed Markets. Palgrave Studies in Agricultural Economics and Food Policy. New York, USA, Palgrave Macmillan: 1-282.
Go to original source... - Dickey D., Fuller W. (1979): Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74: 427-431.
Go to original source... - Drabík D., de Gorter H., Timilsina G. (2014): The effect of biodiesel policies on world biodiesel and oilseed prices. Energy Economics, 44: 80-88.
Go to original source... - Drabík D., de Gorter H., Just D., Timilsina G. (2015): The economics of Brazil's ethanol-sugar markets, mandates, and tax exemptions. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 97: 1433-1450.
Go to original source... - Drabík D., Ciaian P., Pokrivčák J. (2016): The effect of ethanol policies on the vertical price transmission in corn and food markets. Energy Economics, 55: 189-199.
Go to original source... - Dutta A. (2018): Cointegration and nonlinear causality among ethanol-related prices: Evidence from Brazil. GCB Bioenergy, 10: 335-342.
Go to original source... - FAO (2020). Food Price Index. [Dataset]. Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations. Available at https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/ (accessed June 20, 2021).
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2020): Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dataset. [Dataset]. Available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/tags/series (accessed June 20, 2021).
- Janda K., Krištoufek L. (2019): The relationship between fuel and food prices: Methods and outcomes. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 11: 195-216.
Go to original source... - Koizumi T. (2003): The Brazilian Ethanol Programme: Impacts on World Ethanol and Sugar Markets. FAO Commodity and Trade Policy Research Working Paper 1. Rome, Italy, Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations (FAO). Available at https://www.fao.org/publications/card/en/c/0f7cdd22-ad11-5769-ba42-47b6a8d9a1f4/ (accessed Apr 30, 2021).
- Kramer E. (2016): U.S. Sugar Beet Price Analysis. Research Paper. Southern Illinois University Carbondale. Available at https://opensiuc.lib.siu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1944&context=gs_rp (accessed Apr 30, 2021).
- Krištoufek L., Janda K., Zilberman D. (2012): Correlations between biofuels and related commodities before and during the food crisis: A taxonomy perspective. Energy Economics, 34: 1380-1391.
Go to original source... - Kruskal J. (1956): On the shortest spanning subtree of a graph and the traveling salesman problem. Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society, 7: 48-50.
Go to original source... - Kwiatkowski D., Phillips P., Schmidt P., Shin Y. (1992): Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? Journal of Econometrics, 54: 159-178.
Go to original source... - Lautier D., Raynaud F. (2012): Systemic risk in energy derivative markets: A graph-theory analysis. Energy Journal, 33: 215-239.
Go to original source... - Mantegna R. (1999): Hierarchical structure in financial markets. The European Physical Journal B, 11: 193-197.
Go to original source... - Pal D., Mitra S. (2017): Time-frequency contained co-movement of crude oil and world food prices: A wavelet-based analysis. Energy Economics, 62: 230-239.
Go to original source... - Pal D., Mitra S. (2020): Time-frequency dynamics of return spillover from crude oil to agricultural commodities. Applied Economics, 52: 5426-5445.
Go to original source... - Rajčaniová M., Pokrivčák J. (2011): The impact of biofuel policies on food prices in the European Union. Ekonomický časopis, 59: 459-471.
- Rajčaniová M., Drabík D., Ciaian P. (2013): How policies affect international biofuel price linkages. Energy Policy, 59: 857-865.
Go to original source... - Rajčaniová M., Kancs A., Ciaian P. (2014): Bioenergy and global land-use change. Applied Economics, 46: 3163-3179.
Go to original source... - Reboredo J. (2012): Do food and oil prices co-move? Energy Policy, 49: 456-467.
Go to original source... - Serra T. (2013): Time-series econometric analyses of biofuel-related price volatility. Agricultural Economics, 44: 53-62.
Go to original source... - Schererová B. (2020): Pricing of biofuels. [Bachelor thesis]. Faculty of Finance and Acounting, University of Economics, Prague.
- Sieczka P., Holyst J. (2009): Correlations in commodity markets. Physica A, 388: 1621-1630.
Go to original source... - Taheripour F., Scott D., Hurt C., Tyner W. (2021): Technological progress in US agriculture: Implications for biofuel production. Sustainable Agriculture Research, 10: 61-72.
Go to original source... - Timilsina G. (2018): Lost momentum of biofuels: What went wrong? In: Qin Z., Mishra U., Hastings A. (eds): Bioenergy and Land Use Change. Washington, D.C, US, American Geophysical Union and John Wiley and Sons: 181-188.
Go to original source... - Thomson Reuters Eikon (2020): Thomson Reuters Eikon Dataset. [Dataset]. Thomson Reuters. Available at https://eikon.thomsonreuters.com/index.html (accessed June 20, 2021).
- Tiwari A., Boachie M., Suleman M., Gupta R. (2021): Structure dependence between oil and agricultural commodities returns: The role of geopolitical risks. Energy, 219: 119584.
Go to original source... - Tumminello M., Di Matteo T., Aste T., Mantegna R. (2007): Correlation based networks of equity returns sampled at different time horizons. The European Physical Journal B, 55: 209-217.
Go to original source... - Tyner W., Taheripour F. (2008): Policy options for integrated energy and agricultural markets. Review of Agricultural Economics, 30: 387-396.
Go to original source... - Tyner W. (2010): The integration of energy and agricultural markets. Agricultural Economics, 41: 193-201.
Go to original source... - U.S. Energy Information Administration (2020). Energy Overview Dataset. [Dataset]. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Available at https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/browser/ (accessed June 20, 2021).
- Zhang Z., Lohr L., Escalante C., Wetzstein M. (2010): Food versus fuel: What do prices tell us. Energy Policy, 38: 445-451.
Go to original source... - Zhao X., Taheripour F., Malina R., Staples M., Tyner W. (2021): Estimating induced land use change emissions for sustainable aviation biofuel pathways. Science of the Total Environment, 779: 1-12.
Go to original source...
Go to PubMed...
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY NC 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

